Solar Storm Forecast – September 12, 2021 at 09:30PM

Credit: Dr.Tamitha Skov #SpaceWeatherWoman #TamithaSkov #SpaceWeather #SolarStormForecast #SolarStorm

This week our Sun keeps us on pins and needles as four new active regions rotate through Earth-view. Not only are two of these regions big flare players (we have a 5% chance for X-flares), but several solar storms have been launched over the past couple days that are either grazing Earth now (or soon will be). In addition we have an unstable filament rotating through the Earth-strike zone now and it is poised to erupt. If it does over the next few days, it will likely be Earth-directed. Aurora photographers should stay comfortably alert for the remainder of this week as we might have some sporadic aurora. This is also good news for amateur radio operators, as solar flux peaked over 100 for a few days this week. Although it is back down into the low 90s as of right now, every time we cross into triple digits, it is a good sign that cycle 25 is continuing to rise! However, with this rising activity comes the potential for radio blackouts, and this week is no exception. Regions 2866 and 2868 are both big-flare players and so both radio operators and GPS users could see issues with signal reception over the next few days, especially on Earth’s dayside and near dawn and dusk. Learn the details of the coming solar storms, watch how regions 2866 and 2868 are developing, and see what else our Sun has in store this week!
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For a more in-depth look at the data and images Highlighted in this video see these links below.

Solar Imaging and Analysis:
Flare Analysis:
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS:
GOES Xray:
GONG magnetic field synoptic movie:
GONG magnetic field synoptic charts:
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK

Solar Wind:
DISCOVR solar wind:
ACE Solar Wind:
NASA ENLIL SPIRAL: ;amp;window=-1&cygnetId=261

Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer:
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model:
Auroral Oval Ovation Products:
Global 3-hr Kp index:
Wing Kp index prediction:
USGS Ground Magnetometers:
USGS Disturbance Storm-Time (Dst):
NAIRAS Radiation Storm Model:

Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:

Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:

Images c/o NASA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, STEREO, CCMC, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania,,,,,,, and more.